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UPDATE: Who Will Advance Past the First Round of the 2024 College Football Playoffs?

The 2024 College Football Playoff (CFP) is poised to deliver a new level of excitement with the expanded 12-team format. While fans have eagerly awaited this shift, the first round has introduced a fresh wave of intrigue as teams battle for supremacy in this historic postseason. With matchups set, the question looms: who will advance past the first round? Let’s break down the key contenders and matchups.
The first round of the expanded playoffs sees the top four teams—those receiving byes—waiting to face winners from the quarterfinal round. Meanwhile, seeds 5 through 12 compete in early matchups that promise intense drama. Here’s a quick look at the first-round games (seed matchups and venues):
Michigan, a perennial powerhouse, boasts one of the most balanced rosters in college football. With a dominant defense led by edge rusher Jaylen Harrell and a versatile offense behind quarterback J.J. McCarthy, they face the Group of Five representative, Tulane. The Green Wave will rely on their underdog spirit and dual-threat QB Michael Pratt to pull off the upset.
A rematch of two Big Ten titans, this game features an elite Ohio State offense led by Marvin Harrison Jr. squaring off against a gritty Penn State squad anchored by a ferocious defense. The familiarity between the two adds intrigue, with both sides looking to capitalize on adjustments made since their regular-season clash.
Texas, fresh off a Big 12 Championship, has shown they can compete with anyone in the nation. Quarterback Quinn Ewers leads an explosive offense, while their improved defense will aim to contain Lane Kiffin’s high-flying Ole Miss attack. Expect fireworks in this shootout.
Perhaps the most anticipated first-round matchup, Alabama brings its SEC pedigree against an Oregon team led by Heisman finalist Bo Nix. Nick Saban’s disciplined squad will look to stifle Oregon’s prolific offense, setting the stage for a clash of styles that could go down to the wire.
Tulane’s Cinderella story is compelling, but Michigan’s talent advantage across the board is too overwhelming. Look for the Wolverines to control the trenches and dominate time of possession with their dynamic rushing attack.
Penn State’s defense can limit Ohio State’s explosive plays, but their young quarterback Drew Allar might struggle in the hostile environment of the Horseshoe. Ohio State’s experience and star power, particularly with Harrison Jr., give them the edge.
This game could turn into a track meet, but Texas’s ability to win in the trenches and control tempo should give them the advantage. Ewers’ poise and a resurgent Longhorns defense could prove too much for Ole Miss.
Oregon’s offense has been dazzling all season, but Alabama’s ability to adapt in high-pressure games is unmatched. With Saban at the helm and a home-field advantage, Alabama edges out the Ducks in a thriller.
With the first round complete, the matchups will shift to the next level of competition as the top four seeds—Georgia, Washington, Florida State, and Michigan—enter the fray. The winners of the first-round games will face stiffer challenges as the stakes continue to rise.
As we watch history unfold, the expanded College Football Playoff format has already proven to bring more teams, fans, and storylines into the mix. One thing is certain: the road to the national championship will be paved with unforgettable moments.
Stay tuned for further updates as the action continues to heat up!